OK, have you read this, Laura? It is a tropical depression. This latest track can still change. It still hasn't even formed yet into a storm. It LOOKS like it COULD go toward Tampa as a Cat 3, IF this does form and goes your direction. There is no immediate danger now, but you may want to think about possible preps on the weekend, just in case. Stay tuned to WPLG for the latest updates, and this site.
I've heard of WINK-FM; I thought they are a country music station, is that right? If they are a very good weather update station, that would be something you should keep tuned to, as well.
It is a local news station in Ft Myers and being only about 30 miles away a good option for me to keep up on what is going on in this area. I don't listen to the radio so have no clue about it.
Generally so, but the thing is, a lot of the forecasting you see today is generally model-driven when. it comes to ordinary weather, unlike the olden days of sleight-of-hand forecasting back in my day in the '60s and '70s. Hurricane forecasting is also today pretty much model-driven, and they DO have to adjust these model tracks, and intensity forecasts are usually not as good as track forecasts. So, how do you know if a forecast several days out is going to be the correct one? The key is consistency. If a model, or consensus of then, says the same thing each day, that is your key that a forecast storm may be very serious, and it's a heads-up to be prepared.
Yeah, it is an "oh crap" moment as near the center of the cone is where I am on the Gulf. Well, I am all ready if I have to run as I keep a go back packed and my cat carrier handy, the car is already full, just don't want to come home to a ruined home.
Generally so, but much of the forecasting you see just for ordinary weather, is largely model-driven today not like the olden days of sleight-of-hand weather forecasting back in my day in the '60s and '70s. Today's hurricane forecasting, that's also pretty much model driven; they DO have to adjust these model tracks and especially intensity, and intensity forecasts often are not that great compared to track forecasts. How do you know if a forecast several days in advance is gonna be the correct solution? The key is consistency. If a model or consensus of them continue to say the same thing for several days in a row, that is your clue that, in the case of storms, you know this is serious. It's a heads-up to be prepared in case the forecast storm DOES indeed come to fruition.
OK, have you read this, Laura? It is a tropical depression. This latest track can still change. It still hasn't even formed yet into a storm. It LOOKS like it COULD go toward Tampa as a Cat 3, IF this does form and goes your direction. There is no immediate danger now, but you may want to think about possible preps on the weekend, just in case. Stay tuned to WPLG for the latest updates, and this site.
WPLG just checked. Good station, I tend to use WINK in Ft Myers a lot as it is very close to home. but will be using that one too.
I've heard of WINK-FM; I thought they are a country music station, is that right? If they are a very good weather update station, that would be something you should keep tuned to, as well.
It is a local news station in Ft Myers and being only about 30 miles away a good option for me to keep up on what is going on in this area. I don't listen to the radio so have no clue about it.
Oh so it's WINK TV you listen to, not WINK-FM. OK, thanks for the info.
By the way, TD 9 is now Tropical Storm Ian. 40 mph central winds. Thunderstorms becoming more organized.
Their weather reports are fairly accurate and with these storms they keep updating frequently.
Generally so, but the thing is, a lot of the forecasting you see today is generally model-driven when. it comes to ordinary weather, unlike the olden days of sleight-of-hand forecasting back in my day in the '60s and '70s. Hurricane forecasting is also today pretty much model-driven, and they DO have to adjust these model tracks, and intensity forecasts are usually not as good as track forecasts. So, how do you know if a forecast several days out is going to be the correct one? The key is consistency. If a model, or consensus of then, says the same thing each day, that is your key that a forecast storm may be very serious, and it's a heads-up to be prepared.
Yeah, it is an "oh crap" moment as near the center of the cone is where I am on the Gulf. Well, I am all ready if I have to run as I keep a go back packed and my cat carrier handy, the car is already full, just don't want to come home to a ruined home.
Good, sounds like you are well prepared!!
Generally so, but much of the forecasting you see just for ordinary weather, is largely model-driven today not like the olden days of sleight-of-hand weather forecasting back in my day in the '60s and '70s. Today's hurricane forecasting, that's also pretty much model driven; they DO have to adjust these model tracks and especially intensity, and intensity forecasts often are not that great compared to track forecasts. How do you know if a forecast several days in advance is gonna be the correct solution? The key is consistency. If a model or consensus of them continue to say the same thing for several days in a row, that is your clue that, in the case of storms, you know this is serious. It's a heads-up to be prepared in case the forecast storm DOES indeed come to fruition.