That is, if this one DOES become Ernesto. I remember the 2006 edition of Ernesto that came up the coast; it was initially supposed to be a Cat 3 for New Orleans, which sent the media into a frenzy because a year earlier Katrina hit that city. However, a day later, the models suddenly changed to an East Coast storm, the New Orleans talk quickly died down. The storm raced up the coast; in New York State we had stromg tropical-force gusts to maybe 40 or 50 miles an hour, heavy rain, cool temps in the upper 50s to low 60s range. The next day, a Sunday, ex-Ernesto went to Canada and it was brisk breezes, muggy air, upper 60s or low 70s and light rain or drizzle here and there. Labor Day was partly sunny, pleasant, calm for the final day of our State Fair.
Let's see Global Rapid Heating leads to more water vapor transport and also higher ocean temperatures with more shallow coastal water areas from sea level rise driven by melting ice and thermal expansion. More and stronger hurricanes, a concomitant.
On the other hand increasing desertification may lead to more damping dust plumes lasting later into the season.
Prediction: busier hurricane seasons moved a few weeks later into the early autumn
Would be very happy to see Ernesto just spin itself out to sea & burn up as much ACE energy as possible over the open water 💦
I'm holding out for that option 🎃
That is, if this one DOES become Ernesto. I remember the 2006 edition of Ernesto that came up the coast; it was initially supposed to be a Cat 3 for New Orleans, which sent the media into a frenzy because a year earlier Katrina hit that city. However, a day later, the models suddenly changed to an East Coast storm, the New Orleans talk quickly died down. The storm raced up the coast; in New York State we had stromg tropical-force gusts to maybe 40 or 50 miles an hour, heavy rain, cool temps in the upper 50s to low 60s range. The next day, a Sunday, ex-Ernesto went to Canada and it was brisk breezes, muggy air, upper 60s or low 70s and light rain or drizzle here and there. Labor Day was partly sunny, pleasant, calm for the final day of our State Fair.
Let's see Global Rapid Heating leads to more water vapor transport and also higher ocean temperatures with more shallow coastal water areas from sea level rise driven by melting ice and thermal expansion. More and stronger hurricanes, a concomitant.
On the other hand increasing desertification may lead to more damping dust plumes lasting later into the season.
Prediction: busier hurricane seasons moved a few weeks later into the early autumn