6 Comments

Glad Kirk and Leslie are going to be fish storms,, no one needs that horror. I see we are going to get dumped on with a lot of rain, just hope that is all we get.

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This one will take a beeline across the state. Once it is gone, much drier, cooler, dry-season air begins. Rain-cooled air is why it will go to the low 80s which will keep thunderstorm severity down a bit. However, if you get more sunshine than expected, it may get hotter than expected; that will increase the severity of any thunderstorms that are in any rain bands. Morning sunshine that goes into the early afternoon is sometimes called "self-destructive sunshine" because it "destroys" good weather when the air is hot and unstable, and very humid. So if you see that sunshine in coming days, prepare for any possible severe weather. Other than that, you may be right, it just might be heavy rain as long as nothing tropical develops from this thing.

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Yeah, our hottest summer days usually end in particularly strong thunderstorms in the late afternoon or early evening with lots more grounded lightning than we would get in Michigan. Oddly we often don't have high humidity here until after the storms. I know a lot of Florida complains about the humidity all summer and I remember in Ft Lauderdale decades ago it really was humid a lot but here in Punta Gorda it may be in the upper 90s during the day but the humidity tends to go down after sunrise and then back up to the 90 to 100% after the storms.

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Typically the RELATIVE HUMIDITY NUMBER goes down during the day; it goes up when it rains and after, because the air cools toward the "dew point" temperature, a number that doesn't go down too much during the day, but can go up a bit when it rains. Regardless, I remember my few years living in the winters at Jupiter and it would be humid when strong southeast breezes blew, even if it's the afternoon. If we hot strong thunderstorms ahead of cold fronts, it would cool off from the mid 80s to the mid 60s and it wouldn't feel muggy anymore. By May or early June, it does feel muggier after the storms, and by June if it cools to 75 during a daytime storm, it can ironically be something like 80 to 85 at 11 P.M. and it feels muggier than it did before, even with a good southeast breeze, although that southeast wind can take the edge off the heat.

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Yeah, the humidity on summer nights can get unbearable and hard to breathe when you go out. Heck, you can see it in the air a lot of the time. For us it helps when we get a west wind off the Gulf but a lot of the time at night is seems to go very still which makes it feel worse.

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Seriously, thank you for your analyses.

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