This is not a trend as you may think. The high pressure in the Atlantic determines if a storm re curves in the middle of the Atl. or into the Gulf of Mexico. All depends on the strength of that said high which changes all the time.
Also, there is a trough and westerly winds forecast to come into the Northeast and those west winds would redirect the storm out to sea regardless of the Bermuda High strength. That stronger trough will be the one that brings an end to the Northeast heat and humidity for a stretch and bring the first sign of early fall by mid to late August.
This early guidance seems to suggest a fish storm, if you extrapolate it. Right now, there seems to be nothing to worry about. Maybe the eastern-most Bahamas, but I think the western most Bahamas may be safe from whatever depression or storm comes, if this guidance holds.
My best guess has been that the Houston to New Orleans arc is going to catch a break this year and the SAL is going to be more prolonged due to two factors, but things could change on a dime of course
Thanks, I'm still learning and have no expertise whatsoever. Just a lot of enthusiasm! I grew up in Oklahoma and Houston and experienced alot of stormy weather and at one time considered a meteorology masters at OU! I remember as a child in Houston in the Fifties some tropical depression hit the city, I borrowed an umbrella from my parents, put on my metal roller skates and used the wind to pull me down the sidewalk! Worked fine for about ten feet and I went off into the grass. Good memories!
I'm ALL for this thing staying disorganized.
It looks like the Bahamas may see a lot of activity this year.
This is not a trend as you may think. The high pressure in the Atlantic determines if a storm re curves in the middle of the Atl. or into the Gulf of Mexico. All depends on the strength of that said high which changes all the time.
Also, there is a trough and westerly winds forecast to come into the Northeast and those west winds would redirect the storm out to sea regardless of the Bermuda High strength. That stronger trough will be the one that brings an end to the Northeast heat and humidity for a stretch and bring the first sign of early fall by mid to late August.
If the Bahamas see activity, south/east Florida are right behind !
This early guidance seems to suggest a fish storm, if you extrapolate it. Right now, there seems to be nothing to worry about. Maybe the eastern-most Bahamas, but I think the western most Bahamas may be safe from whatever depression or storm comes, if this guidance holds.
My best guess has been that the Houston to New Orleans arc is going to catch a break this year and the SAL is going to be more prolonged due to two factors, but things could change on a dime of course
Love them fish stoms!
Thanks, I'm still learning and have no expertise whatsoever. Just a lot of enthusiasm! I grew up in Oklahoma and Houston and experienced alot of stormy weather and at one time considered a meteorology masters at OU! I remember as a child in Houston in the Fifties some tropical depression hit the city, I borrowed an umbrella from my parents, put on my metal roller skates and used the wind to pull me down the sidewalk! Worked fine for about ten feet and I went off into the grass. Good memories!