Well crap, that one in the Caribbean is heading north but some of the tracks worry me a bit as they head near me but then Ian was supposed to go farther north and did a bit of a turn. On top of that the one from Africa looks like it might be heading this way. Oh well, nothing to do but keep an eye on them.
I worry more about tornadoes off the sides of these storms as I always seem to be on the 'dirty' side. Where I am flooding is not much of a concern as although I am in the orange area and only 1/4 mile from the Peace River, we have never had flooding even during a Cat 4 hurricane like Ian. I am at about 10 feet elevation. Not all that much but better than a lot of south Florida and we also have the barrier islands and a peninsula blocking the worst of storm surge. Sadly storm surge did go 20+ miles up the river and flood Arcadia but we had about 4 inches on the road when I got home around 5 am the morning after and it was mostly gone by sunrise.
Well crap, that one in the Caribbean is heading north but some of the tracks worry me a bit as they head near me but then Ian was supposed to go farther north and did a bit of a turn. On top of that the one from Africa looks like it might be heading this way. Oh well, nothing to do but keep an eye on them.
I worry more about tornadoes off the sides of these storms as I always seem to be on the 'dirty' side. Where I am flooding is not much of a concern as although I am in the orange area and only 1/4 mile from the Peace River, we have never had flooding even during a Cat 4 hurricane like Ian. I am at about 10 feet elevation. Not all that much but better than a lot of south Florida and we also have the barrier islands and a peninsula blocking the worst of storm surge. Sadly storm surge did go 20+ miles up the river and flood Arcadia but we had about 4 inches on the road when I got home around 5 am the morning after and it was mostly gone by sunrise.
The ECMWF has a much better outcome than the GFS 💓
Yeah. You're very, very good at this stuff.