Is there any indicaton if that system would move west or north? I recall Superstorm Sandy which coincidentally formed exactly 12 years ago today in the same area before heading north over Jamaica and Cuba and up the east coast before ending up flooding the tunnels and subways in NYC.
There is no such indication. First of all, different storms, different weather patterns. Yes, like Sandy, there is some blocking going on, but it isn't the same like Sandy. Oscar is heading northeast. Sandy formed, and started heading northwest because it had to round a big Western Atlantic ridge. Models quickly began seeing this, and there was no chance there would be an escape route. Sandy had no choice but to go up the coast into NJ and NYC and then westward running into a lot of cold air that caused a blizzard in the Virginia and West Virginia area. There were even some gusty winds as far west as Chicago. Of course it transitioned to an extratropical low well before then. Oscar, HAS an escape route. It will not have that big Atlantic ridge to deal with nor is the jet stream in the same configuration as it was for Sandy. So, it isn't going to head north or west and cause a problem. It is already transitioning to a post-tropical system. It will become a fish storm. Sandy never had a chance to be a fish storm.
Is there any indicaton if that system would move west or north? I recall Superstorm Sandy which coincidentally formed exactly 12 years ago today in the same area before heading north over Jamaica and Cuba and up the east coast before ending up flooding the tunnels and subways in NYC.
There is no such indication. First of all, different storms, different weather patterns. Yes, like Sandy, there is some blocking going on, but it isn't the same like Sandy. Oscar is heading northeast. Sandy formed, and started heading northwest because it had to round a big Western Atlantic ridge. Models quickly began seeing this, and there was no chance there would be an escape route. Sandy had no choice but to go up the coast into NJ and NYC and then westward running into a lot of cold air that caused a blizzard in the Virginia and West Virginia area. There were even some gusty winds as far west as Chicago. Of course it transitioned to an extratropical low well before then. Oscar, HAS an escape route. It will not have that big Atlantic ridge to deal with nor is the jet stream in the same configuration as it was for Sandy. So, it isn't going to head north or west and cause a problem. It is already transitioning to a post-tropical system. It will become a fish storm. Sandy never had a chance to be a fish storm.