If forecasts verify, two of the traditionally busier weeks of hurricane season will pass without a single active Atlantic system, a first in nearly 70 years
Living near the Gulf and seeing nothing happening for so long makes the wait even harder knowing that the worst part of the season is almost here and wondering how bad it is going to be. Especially as I only finished getting the damage from Ian taken care of earlier this year. Hoping to miss another direct hit for a lot longer.
Well, you may be in good shape, Laura, if these models are right. Maybe we will be done early with the season. However, warm oceans won't be good in the longer teerm especially for the northeast states. There could be a risk of October hurricanes in the Northeast, or fall Nor' Easters and winter ones. However, that's way far down the road and that discussion will be for another time.
I don't want the damage and destruction. However, these tropical storms do have a necessary thing in that they transport excess heat from the tropics to the poles. This is Nature's way of preventing the tropics from overheating. Otherwise, if it gets too hot in the tropics, there will be too many problems with intense thunderstorms and floods, but droughts in some other places, and increased temperature contrasts between the poles and the equator. The only sure-fire way of doing anything about that is to have hurricanes as a kind of "relief valve" against overheating. Storms are a way of life on this planet. Storms begin, and they will continue until a balance is struck; the conditions that caused the storm meant there is an imbalance that, when that balance is struck, the storm weakens and ends, and it dies. After the storm dies, things are hunky dory until the next storm. The same goes for our winter storms, too. Not just the summer tropical entities.
That's why humans try to protect life and property in the event of storms. That's why we have weather warnings. To try to mitigate the problems that WILL occur due to storms. Animals often try to shelter themselves before and during storms. Many may leave an area if they sense a bad storm coming that's many hours away. As I said, storms are a way of life on this planet. If we know they are coming, we try to prepare for them. Animals also have ways of preparing for them. There has, and is now, and will always be suffering of both humans and animals due to storms. It's the way it is; it comes with the territory.
Hunga Tunga is why it's been so warm the past couple of winters and why we have these record summer heat spells. It SHOULD have been responsible for unusually moist MJO periods, large amounts of thunderstorm clusters in the oceans and on land, but we are not seeing that. We are not seeing the amount of thunderstorms I would think we WOULD see. Those thunderstorms are what consolidate into tropical storms and hurricanes. Also, why has wind shear been fairly steady this summer? Dry Saharan air is another impediment we have seen. Without storms, the oceans will stay warmer than usual. That will only increase the longer term risk of huge hurricanes down the road.
Living near the Gulf and seeing nothing happening for so long makes the wait even harder knowing that the worst part of the season is almost here and wondering how bad it is going to be. Especially as I only finished getting the damage from Ian taken care of earlier this year. Hoping to miss another direct hit for a lot longer.
Well, you may be in good shape, Laura, if these models are right. Maybe we will be done early with the season. However, warm oceans won't be good in the longer teerm especially for the northeast states. There could be a risk of October hurricanes in the Northeast, or fall Nor' Easters and winter ones. However, that's way far down the road and that discussion will be for another time.
I wish nobody had to suffer from them.
I don't want the damage and destruction. However, these tropical storms do have a necessary thing in that they transport excess heat from the tropics to the poles. This is Nature's way of preventing the tropics from overheating. Otherwise, if it gets too hot in the tropics, there will be too many problems with intense thunderstorms and floods, but droughts in some other places, and increased temperature contrasts between the poles and the equator. The only sure-fire way of doing anything about that is to have hurricanes as a kind of "relief valve" against overheating. Storms are a way of life on this planet. Storms begin, and they will continue until a balance is struck; the conditions that caused the storm meant there is an imbalance that, when that balance is struck, the storm weakens and ends, and it dies. After the storm dies, things are hunky dory until the next storm. The same goes for our winter storms, too. Not just the summer tropical entities.
I understand the reasoning but can't stand the suffering for both human and animals from these storms.
That's why humans try to protect life and property in the event of storms. That's why we have weather warnings. To try to mitigate the problems that WILL occur due to storms. Animals often try to shelter themselves before and during storms. Many may leave an area if they sense a bad storm coming that's many hours away. As I said, storms are a way of life on this planet. If we know they are coming, we try to prepare for them. Animals also have ways of preparing for them. There has, and is now, and will always be suffering of both humans and animals due to storms. It's the way it is; it comes with the territory.
Strange isn't it? The ICTZ is way north I understand. Over at another site there was speculation it might be a residual effect of Hunga Tonga.
Hunga Tunga is why it's been so warm the past couple of winters and why we have these record summer heat spells. It SHOULD have been responsible for unusually moist MJO periods, large amounts of thunderstorm clusters in the oceans and on land, but we are not seeing that. We are not seeing the amount of thunderstorms I would think we WOULD see. Those thunderstorms are what consolidate into tropical storms and hurricanes. Also, why has wind shear been fairly steady this summer? Dry Saharan air is another impediment we have seen. Without storms, the oceans will stay warmer than usual. That will only increase the longer term risk of huge hurricanes down the road.
Not really wanting the other shoe to drop. I'll guess we'll creep on with the eerie silence.