Tropical Depression May Form this Week in the Atlantic
No concern for South Florida at this time
A disturbance off the coast of Africa may organize into a tropical depression by middle week, becoming the first tropical system in the Atlantic since July 3rd and kicking off what is traditionally the busiest stretch of the Atlantic hurricane season.
For now, the area of storminess is disorganized, but conditions appear mostly conducive for slow development during the early and middle part of the week while it moves through the eastern Atlantic. By late week, the system will be headed into the teeth of hostile upper-level winds, so its window of opportunity may be short-lived.
High-pressure steering to the north will guide the disturbance off toward the west-northwest for much of the week. By next weekend, a weakness on the western side of this high-pressure ridge should allow it to lift farther north before reaching the islands.
While still early, forecast models are bearish on the system’s long-term prospects and it will remain over open waters for the duration of the week. While we’ll continue to monitor its progress, the disturbance is of no concern this week for South Florida. Elsewhere, no other areas of development are expected in the Atlantic through the workweek.
So it loos like things have changed a bit in the last day; it was looking like the high would remain strong enough to steer it west to the islands; now things have changed a bit and there MAY be this weakness in the high, but even so, the sustem still should be no concern; so at most, it would be a rainstorm even if it hit Florida.